Crypto can imply various things to totally different folks. For Alex Svanevik and Nansen, it means largely sensible contracts, DeFi and DAOs, with some NFTs thrown in for good measure.
Nansen is a blockchain analytics platform that analyzes 100M+ labeled wallets and their exercise on Ethereum, Polygon, Avalanche, and lots of different Stage 1 and Stage 2 blockchains. At this time, Nansen launched its first State of the Crypto Business Report, masking notable tendencies and insights throughout the cryptocurrency, NFT, and DeFi markets over 2021.
We caught up with Nansen Co-Founder and CEO Alex Svanevik to debate the report’s findings, highlighting statistics and motion inside key sectors of the blockchain business in addition to an outlook for 2022.
Ethereum will not be the one recreation on the town
Svanevik has a background in information science and analytics, and bought into the blockchain scene in 2017. Nansen is an effort to use information science and analytics and analytics in blockchain as a way to acquire insights. Nansen retains tracks of transactions and wallets on quite a lot of totally different blockchains, and combines that with different information.
General, 2021 has been a great yr each for crypto at giant, and for Nansen. The corporate grew from 7 to 80 folks, which suggests there now’s sufficient bandwidth to embark on this kind of evaluation to publish findings for a report.
When requested concerning the sources that Nansen makes use of to correlate with blockchain transactions, Svanevik stated that it is largely area data utilized by analysts internally. Transactions and addresses on blockchains are nameless, however folks with area data and entry to historic information could possibly set up patterns and derive heuristics, which is what Nansen does.
One factor which is straight away notable about Nansen’s report is the blockchains it contains. Apart from Ethereum, which is an apparent selection, the evaluation contains Avalanche, Binance Sensible Chain (BSC), Celo, Fantom, and Polygon. Admittedly, there are some huge names lacking, with the obvious one being Bitcoin.
As Svanevik defined, Nansen focuses on blockchains supporting sensible contracts. Extra particularly, blockchains suitable with the Ethereum Digital Machine (EVM). EVM is the software program platform builders can use to create decentralized functions (dApps). This digital machine is the place all Ethereum accounts and sensible contracts reside.
This selection was made for quite a lot of causes. A few of them are sensible, as specializing in the EVM permits Nansen to trace transactions seamlessly throughout blockchains that leverage it. The underlying precept right here is that sensible contracts are essentially the most fascinating a part of blockchains. Nansen can even embrace non-EVM suitable blockchains in its evaluation on a customer-demand foundation, beginning with Solana and Terra.
The important thing theme that emerges is that Ethereum is not the one sensible contract blockchain platform with actual utilization, as crypto decidedly went multi-chain in 2021. Ethereum, nonetheless, nonetheless stays the largest blockchain by TVL (Complete Worth Locked) and Market Cap.
The report notes that for the reason that growth throughout DeFi summer season 2020, excessive gasoline costs on Ethereum have been fluctuating attributable to congestion on the bottom layer. This provides rise to alternatives for L1 and L2 options to flourish because the a lot wanted scalable resolution. Contract deployment has additionally remained somewhat low just lately attributable to cheaper options in different blockchains, with EVM compatibility enabling interoperability.
Avalanche noticed a meteoric rise in transactions and value, triggered by a $180M incentive program, $230M increase from notable VCs in addition to the a number of launches of high quality functions on the chain.
BSC each day lively addresses are the best amongst all L1s. At its peak in late Nov 2021, the each day transactions on BSC was 1,345% of Ethereum’s. Transaction exercise on Celo has gone up over 4x since June; its TVL reached $1.2B in late Oct.
Each day lively addresses on Fantom elevated 440%, TVL went from ~$1B to over $6B. Polygon has about 300% extra transactions than Ethereum, however its each day gasoline paid in USD is usually lower than 0.5% of Ethereum’s.
Sensible contracts
Svanevik thinks that sensible contracts are vital for quite a lot of causes. First, they’re distinctive in that they’re autonomous — they do not should be invoked. Assuming there aren’t any bugs and vulnerabilities, sensible contracts are at all times up and working. Sensible contracts additionally enable for composability and permissionless innovation:
“You probably have made a wise contract, which permits folks to maybe borrow, borrow and lend capital, I can construct a derivatives platform that makes use of your sensible contract as one of many constructing blocks. I haven’t got to construct that out myself. and I haven’t got to ask you for permission to make use of it. Which means you’ll be able to virtually get an exponential enhance in innovation as folks put these money-Lego blocks collectively”, Svanevik stated.
The third level Svanevik highlighted is transparency, in comparison with FinTech merchandise constructed on conventional finance infrastructure. In that state of affairs, you do not actually know if that enterprise is solvent, and you should depend on reviews. With sensible contracts, you’ll be able to at all times examine their state.
That’s, assuming that the sensible contract has printed the code behind it, which Svanevik stated is usually a prerequisite for folks to really use it within the first place, as a result of they wish to know what they’re interacting with. Then folks can know precisely how a wise contract features, and so they can audit it in actual time.
In fact, that assumes folks can really learn sensible contracts, which might be not the case for many. Because of this there are specialised sensible contract auditors, whose enterprise is prospering — there may be extra demand than provide. Sarcastically, that creates one other centralization level in theoretically decentalized blockchain functions.
However, Svanevik famous, many sensible contract bugs and inefficiencies go unnoticed. A part of it has to do with the maturity of the expertise and the contracts themselves. Because the area matures, we will anticipate extra stability. In the mean time, folks want to know there may be excessive danger concerned with placing cash into sensible contracts.
Over time, Svanevik thinks we will anticipate to see one thing like a Lindy impact play out, the place if one thing has lasted for a very long time, it is extra more likely to not break tomorrow. So it might make sense to transcend TVL when evaluating merchandise constructed on sensible contracts, factoring within the time for which a wise contract existed, and the way a lot capital has really held.
This brings us to DeFi (Decentralized Finance), which is constructed on sensible contracts. After the meteoric rise of DeFi in 2020, the momentum continued into 2021. DeFi has not solely grown about 1,120% when it comes to TVL, nevertheless it additionally grew when it comes to stickiness because of the maturity of stablecoins in addition to the reliability of battle-tested dApps, Nansen’s report states.
When discussing with Svanevik, nonetheless, he famous that TVL will not be essentially the one metric to rule all of them in relation to DeFi. The truth is, there are DeFi protocols, akin to Uniswap v3, particularly designed to have a low TVL. The variety of contract deployments and gasoline costs are additionally good indicators that Nansen tracks.
Nansen’s report states that whereas establishments have proven vital curiosity in investing in cryptocurrencies and DeFi markets in 2021, there are nonetheless main obstacles stopping additional institutional adoption. For example, funding mandates usually restrict participation from conventional finance establishments, as their investments should meet sure standards, all of that are based mostly on conventional monetary devices.
We had been questioning how precisely is institutional involvement in DeFi outlined and measured. Svanevik famous it is laborious to measure precisely what’s institutional and what’s people with giant quantities of capital. He additionally talked about that Nansen displays quite a lot of funds within the house – be it VC funds, market-makers, hedge funds and so forth.
Lots of them, he went on so as to add, are extremely lively, listed among the many high addresses in quantity on Ethereum and different blockchains. Plus, anecdotally, Svanevik sees quite a lot of curiosity from folks from conventional enterprise companies coming to Nansen to study extra concerning the house, as “they’ve been received over, they realized that crypto is the longer term and so they wish to perceive it higher”.
DeFi and DAOs
Nansen’s report contains 3 DeFi merchandise: Uniswap, Lido, and Aave. Uniswap is the most well-liked software on Ethereum, and it is fairly spectacular how dominant Uniswap is when it comes to transactional exercise on Ethereum, Svanevik famous.
We even have Aave, which Svanevik described as a “quintessential DeFi use case”: you’ll be able to successfully put cash into Ethereum, after which you’ll be able to borrow cash towards it, or you’ll be able to earn curiosity in your capital.
Then there may be Lido, which Svanevik described as “a decentralized staking pool for the Ethereum”. In different phrases, a option to earn yields in your Ethereum, with out having to working a validator on Ethereum, whereas sustaining liquidity. Lido has grown to develop into the dominant supplier of Ethereum into the Ethereum ecosystem.
Final however not least, Nansen’s report additionally contains DAOs – Decentralized Autonomous Organizations. Svanevik stated there are just a few good causes to maintain observe of these. To start with, they’re fairly highly effective nowadays within the sense that they handle quite a lot of capital. Second of all, it is the de facto option to set up protocols treasuries and to handle their roadmap:
“You probably have a decentralized software, there cannot actually be a centralized entity, a form of authorized entity behind that. There must be some decentralized group that governs parameters of how the applying works.
And these initiatives may additionally have a treasury from having raised capital or from accruing revenues from utilization. And so you should have some type of group that manages the treasury and manages the parameters of those protocols. There is a pure want for DAOs”, Svanevik stated.
As DeFi protocols are proliferating, the necessity for DAOs can be rising. Moreover, DAOs are additionally utilized in different areas akin to NFTs. Most individuals need transparency in relation to organizations and that is not distinctive to DAOs, Svanevik thinks.
It is the identical with companies and governments. If DAOs are to succeed in their full potential, they might want to have most transparency, Svavevik famous. That is one of many explanation why Nansen included DAOs within the report, despite the fact that there are extra points that could possibly be coated.
The factor about DAOs, Svanevik famous, is that they don’t seem to be homogeneous. As they symbolize numerous types of governance, they will fluctuate wildly. That makes it additionally laborious to search out one set of metrics that matter for all of them. Belongings below administration, or buying and selling quantity of tokens could possibly be some candidates.
As per the report, some key drivers of the worth in a DAO are efficient incentive mechanisms in place, excessive voter participation fee, and constant supply of initiatives. Most likely the highest-profile DAO at this level is the ConstitutionDAO, fashioned in November 2021 to buy an authentic copy of the US Structure. They raised $47 million in Ether from over 17,000 individuals.